Showing posts with label us president. Show all posts
Showing posts with label us president. Show all posts

Dec 6, 2008

No easy street for Bush once he's out of office


The process of relinquishing the most powerful job in the world isn't an easy one. Besides overseeing the construction of a presidential library and writing his memoirs, President Bush must also grapple with salvaging a legacy mired in the lowest presidential approval ratings in history. full story

Nov 5, 2008

Change has come not only to America

History will remember Barack Obama for the change he personifies.

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As America's first black president he will write a new chapter in a long story that began in slavery and persecution and has not yet ended in equality.

But he is determined that history will remember him as an agent of change, not just as a symbol of it, and that will not be easy.

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Mr Obama has been a brilliant candidate in many ways - the muscular poetry of his oratory is matched by his flair for the nuts and bolts of campaign organisation.

But he has been lucky too.

Even the banking crisis, which called into question the competence of Republican economic stewardship, came helpfully at a moment when he and John McCain were neck and neck in the polls.

He has not been lucky though in the circumstances which greet him as he takes office.

Funding the promises

The economy is in recession and the US, at war on two fronts overseas, faces profound questions that will require quick answers.

Mr Obama though will have at least one asset no other American president since Kennedy has enjoyed - a huge reservoir of international goodwill.

That is based partly on the simple fact that he is not George W Bush and partly on the widely-held belief that in picking a black president the United States is somehow closing one of the darker chapters in its own past.

It is not clear of course how deep that reservoir might be nor how long it will last - and it will not help much with the most pressing problem of all, which is what to do about the US economy.

Mr Obama has promised a tax cut to 95% of Americans and plenty of other things that will cost money too - like better access to health care for the 45 million people here without insurance, and an army of new teachers, with improved salaries, for the school system.

None of that will be cheap - and Mr Obama is inheriting a budget deficit running into hundreds of billions a year and a national debt which is about to go above the $11 trillion (£6.9 trillion) mark.

Whether or not Mr Obama is able to keep his campaign promises, he will be drawing heavily on his extraordinary gift for communication - expect that to be one of the hallmarks of his time in office.

Post-partisan

He is a gifted speaker and in times of national grief or doubt it is hugely important for Americans to have a president able to capture, shape and occasionally lift the national mood.

Those gifts will be equally important if President Obama finds himself in the depths of recession having to explain why campaign promises are being deferred or even dumped.

crying supporter

Obama has inspired great hope and high expectations in many black voters

How that goes down with the American people will depend on how successfully Mr Obama manages another of his campaign promises - the rather nebulous goal of bringing Americans together.

The new president sees himself as an essentially post-partisan figure and his rhetoric is filled with urgent talk of bringing together a fractured society so that young and old, black and white, rich and poor, and gay and straight all work together with a sense of common purpose.

On the campaign trail, this made Mr Obama seem psychologically interesting - almost as though he were yearning for the US to be a better version of itself. It will be interesting to see how he intends to bring that vision to life in a country where there are still profound racial divisions and which thrives on the vigour of its competitive political process.

Foreign policy

Look out for widespread use of the internet in the implementation of the Obama vision, by the way. Mr Obama's campaign was creative in using the web to raise funds and drum up an army of volunteers - he might have something similar in mind for his presidency.

Mr Obama will find himself tested and perhaps defined by foreign policy issues just as his predecessor was.

He has to find an exit strategy for Iraq that does not somehow enhance the regional power status of Iran.

And of course the issue of Iranian nuclear ambition cannot be ignored either. How will President Obama react to pressure from Israel, or from his own military commanders, to bomb Iran's reactor to prevent it from developing a bomb? We might know very soon.

In Afghanistan Mr Obama has talked of putting in more American troops and finishing the fight with al-Qaeda. That is easier said than done and if a beefed-up Afghan campaign goes badly, it will reflect on his judgment and damage his standing.

There remain the challenges of fighting effectively around the Pakistani border without alienating that turbulent ally. And that is before the problems of rebuilding - or rather building - Afghan civil society are contemplated.

Mr Obama has made history by winning power. As he attempts to make history in the way he exercises it, he will be weighed down by high expectations. He is going to need all the many gifts - and all the luck - that got him here.

Author:

By Kevin Connolly
BBC Washington correspondent

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Nov 4, 2008

Voters set for historic US poll


After the longest, most expensive election campaign in US history, voters are about to elect the 44th president.

Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama have returned to their home states of Arizona and Illinois to vote and hold final rallies.

Mr Obama is holding a steady lead in final opinion polls and record numbers of voters are expected to turn out.

In the first voting of the day, Mr Obama defeated his rival by 15 votes to six in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire.

The town, which has a 60-year tradition of being first in the nation to vote, opened its polls at midnight, with turnout of 100%.

George W Bush won there in 2004 on his way to re-election.

The 2008 vote was the first time the town had voted Democrat for 40 years.

The presidential rivals spent a hectic, final day of campaigning on Monday by criss-crossing the country to visit key states.

Senator McCain finished up a marathon run through seven states in Arizona. He urged his supporters to fight on to victory.

Barack Obama pays tribute to his grandmother

Senator Obama, at his last campaign rally in Virginia, told voters he had one word for them: "Tomorrow."

On the eve of the ballot, Republican vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin was cleared by an investigator for the Alaska Personnel Board of violating state ethics laws as governor of Alaska.

A separate report released last month found that she did abuse her office by allowing her husband and staff to pressure Alaska's top law enforcement official to fire her former brother-in-law.

Mrs Palin sacked Walt Monegan, the state public safety commissioner, but denied it was because of his refusal to dismiss her sister's ex-husband, a state trooper.

Tributes to grandmother

Meanwhile, Senator Obama said his grandmother, Madelyn Dunham - who largely raised him as a child - had died aged 86 in Hawaii after losing her battle with cancer.

In a joint statement with his half-sister, he described her as "the cornerstone of our family, and a woman of extraordinary accomplishment, strength, and humility," adding that their debt to her was "beyond measure".


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Campaign Trail: Gavin Hewitt

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Senator McCain and his wife Cindy issued a statement offering their deepest condolences to Mr Obama and his family.

At an event in North Carolina, Mr Obama appeared emotional as he spoke of his grandmother, saying she had died peacefully in her sleep with his sister by her side.

Later, giving his final speech of a 21-month-long campaign, he told supporters in Manassas, Virginia, that he had found the long journey to election day both humbling and enriching.

"You have moved me again and again, you have inspired me, sometimes when I am down you've lifted me up," he said.

"You've filled me with new hope for our future and you've reminded me about what makes America so special."

A USA Today/Gallup poll published on Monday found likely voters favour Mr Obama by 11 points over Mr McCain, 53-42%.

John McCain tells supporters "we will win"

Other national polls indicate Mr Obama's lead over his rival is holding steady at between five to 11 percentage points.

But the BBC's James Coomarasamy, in Washington, says that while Mr Obama has held a pretty steady lead for several weeks, a number of factors could undermine the pollsters' predictions.

Among them, he says, are the role the Illinois senator's skin colour may play in voters' intentions; whether newly-registered voters will actually vote; and the Palin effect - whether Mr McCain's running mate has energised or alienated Republicans.

McCain defiant

Both camps were keenly aware of the need to get voters out in the states that polls suggest remain in the balance.

Mr McCain dashed through half a dozen states on the marathon campaign's final day - including Florida, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Mexico and Nevada - before heading home to Arizona.

map of final day's campaign

Various polls suggest Mr Obama has a two- to four-point lead over him in electoral vote-rich Florida.

On Monday morning, the 72-year-old told a crowd of about 1,100 supporters in Tampa, Florida: "Senator Obama is running to spread the wealth, I'm running to create more wealth."

Mr Obama, 47, spent Monday targeting states that four years ago voted Republican but where he now has a chance of winning, including Virginia and North Carolina, which have not backed a Democratic hopeful in decades.

Both campaigns have thousands of volunteers working flat-out manning phone banks, handing out brochures and knocking on doors ahead of Tuesday's election.

Some 130 million Americans are expected to vote, in a higher turnout than in any election since 1960, the BBC's North America editor Justin Webb says.

A record 27 million people had already cast absentee or early ballots as of Saturday night.


ELECTION DAY ON THE BBC
Join us on 4 November to follow the news as America votes, including:
Live text updates through the day and night, with input from BBC correspondents around the US
Results as they come in, on a live updating map, from midnight GMT
Streaming video of the BBC election night programme in Washington
Analysis from BBC North America editor Justin Webb in Washington, and Gavin Hewitt and Matthew Price at the candidates' HQs

Send us your views

Under America's Electoral College system, states are apportioned votes based on their population, the biggest being California with 55 votes.

A candidate needs to gain 270 out of the 538 Electoral College votes to win the presidency.

Polls suggest the six closest state races on election day will be in Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Nevada and Ohio.

Mr McCain holds the lead in Indiana and North Carolina, but Mr Obama is ahead in the others, the latest polls from Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby suggest.

When Americans go to the polls, as well as choosing a new president and members of Congress, they will be casting votes on a wide range of ballot initiatives such as same-sex marriage, abortion and animal rights.